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@string{aa = {Astron. Astrophys.}}

@string{aass = {Astron. Astrophys. Suppl. Ser.}}

@string{aj = {Astron. J.}}

@string{ajes = {Australian Journal of Earth Sciences}}

@string{areps = {Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci.}}

@string{asj = {Astrophys. J.}}

@string{ass = {Astrophysics and Space Science}}

@string{cg = {Computers & Geosciences}}

@string{cm = {Cel. Mech}}

@string{cras = {Precambrian Research}}

@string{eos = {EOS, Trans. Am. geophys. Un.}}

@string{eps = {Earth Planets Space}}

@string{epsl = {Earth and Planetary Science Letters}}

@string{esr = {Earth--Science Reviews}}

@string{ga = {Geomagnetism and Aeronomy}}

@string{gafd = {Geophys. Astrophys. Fluid Dyn.}}

@string{geo = {Geophysics}}

@string{gj = {Geophys. J.}}

@string{gji = {Geophys. J. Int.}}

@string{gjras = {Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc.}}

@string{grl = {Geophys. Res. Lett.}}

@string{icarus = {ICARUS}}

@string{jfm = {J. Fluid Mech.}}

@string{jgg = {J. Geomag. Geoelectr.}}

@string{jgr = {J. Geophys. Res.}}

@string{jgsa = {Journal of the Geological Society of Australia}}

@string{livro1 = {Mathematical Geophysics, A Survey of Recent Developments in Seismology and Geodynamics, Reidel, Dordrecht, eds. Vlaar, N. J., Nolet, G., Wortel, M. J. R. and Cloetingh, S. A. P. L.}}

@string{m = {Mathematika}}

@string{nat = {Nature}}

@string{pasj = {Publ. Astron. Soc. Japan}}

@string{pcps = {Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc.}}

@string{pepi = {Phys. Earth Planet. Inter.}}

@string{pls = {Pour la Science}}

@string{pr = {Precambrian Research}}

@string{prs = {Proc. Roy. Soc. A.}}

@string{prsl = {Proc. R. Soc. Lond.}}

@string{ptrsla = {Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A}}

@string{rech = {La Recherche}}

@string{rg = {Rev. Geophys.}}

@string{sci = {Science}}

@string{sg = {Sedimentary Geology}}

@string{sp = {Solar Physics}}

@string{spr = {Scientific Progress}}


@article{helmstetter_predictability_2003,
	title = {Predictability in the {Epidemic}-{Type} {Aftershock} {Sequence} model of interacting triggered seismicity: {PREDICTABILITY} {OF} {TRIGGERED} {SEISMICITY}},
	volume = {108},
	issn = {01480227},
	shorttitle = {Predictability in the {Epidemic}-{Type} {Aftershock} {Sequence} model of interacting triggered seismicity},
	url = {http://doi.wiley.com/10.1029/2003JB002485},
	doi = {10.1029/2003JB002485},
	language = {en},
	number = {B10},
	urldate = {2019-11-20},
	journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth},
	author = {Helmstetter, Agnès and Sornette, Didier},
	month = oct,
	year = {2003},
}

@article{shbFZ52019,
  title = {Forecasting {{Aftershock Activity}}: 5. {{Estimating}} the {{Duration}} of a {{Hazardous Period}}},
  volume = {55},
  issn = {1555-6506},
  shorttitle = {Forecasting {{Aftershock Activity}}},
  language = {en},
  number = {5},
  journal = {Izv., Phys. Solid Earth},
  doi = {10.1134/S1069351319050112},
  author = {Shebalin, P. N. and Baranov, S. V.},
  month = sep,
  year = {2019},
  keywords = {averaged parameter estimates,hazard duration forecasting,Omori–Utsu law,relative magnitude},
  pages = {719-732}
}


@article{bbshVS2019,
  title = {A {{Quantitative Estimate}} of the {{Effects}} of {{Sea Tides}} on {{Aftershock Activity}}: {{Kamchatka}}},
  volume = {13},
  issn = {1819-7108},
  shorttitle = {A {{Quantitative Estimate}} of the {{Effects}} of {{Sea Tides}} on {{Aftershock Activity}}},
  language = {en},
  number = {1},
  journal = {J. Volcanolog. Seismol.},
  doi = {10.1134/S0742046319010020},
  author = {Baranov, A. A. and Baranov, S. V. and Shebalin, P. N.},
  month = jan,
  year = {2019},
  pages = {56-69}
}


@article{bshFZ42019,
  title = {Forecasting {{Aftershock Activity}}: 4. {{Estimating}} the {{Maximum Magnitude}} of {{Future Aftershocks}}},
  volume = {55},
  issn = {1555-6506},
  shorttitle = {Forecasting {{Aftershock Activity}}},
  language = {en},
  number = {4},
  journal = {Izv., Phys. Solid Earth},
  doi = {10.1134/S1069351319040013},
  author = {Baranov, S. V. and Pavlenko, V. A. and Shebalin, P. N.},
  month = jul,
  year = {2019},
  keywords = {aftershocks,Båth’s dynamic law,Bayesian approach,independence of time and magnitudes of aftershocks,maximum magnitude in aftershock sequence,Omori–Utsu law,sequential estimation},
  pages = {548-562}
}


@article{shbVS1,
  title = {Rapid Estimation of the Hazard Posed by Strong Aftershocks for {{Kamchatka}} and the {{Kuril Islands}}},
  volume = {11},
  issn = {1819-7108},
  language = {en},
  number = {4},
  journal = {J. Volcanolog. Seismol.},
  doi = {10.1134/S0742046317040066},
  author = {Shebalin, P. N. and Baranov, S. V.},
  month = jul,
  year = {2017},
  pages = {295-304}
}


@article{bshFZ32018,
  title = {Forecasting {{Aftershock Activity}}: 3. {{B{\aa}th}}'s {{Dynamic Law}}},
  volume = {54},
  issn = {1555-6506},
  shorttitle = {Forecasting {{Aftershock Activity}}},
  language = {en},
  number = {6},
  journal = {Izv., Phys. Solid Earth},
  doi = {10.1134/S1069351318060022},
  author = {Baranov, S. V. and Shebalin, P. N.},
  month = nov,
  year = {2018},
  pages = {926-932}
}


@article{bshFZ22017,
  title = {Forecasting Aftershock Activity: 2. {{Estimating}} the Area Prone to Strong Aftershocks},
  volume = {53},
  issn = {1555-6506},
  shorttitle = {Forecasting Aftershock Activity},
  language = {en},
  number = {3},
  journal = {Izv., Phys. Solid Earth},
  doi = {10.1134/S1069351317020021},
  author = {Baranov, S. V. and Shebalin, P. N.},
  month = may,
  year = {2017},
  pages = {366-384}
}


@article{bshFZ12016,
  title = {Forecasting Aftershock Activity: 1. {{Adaptive}} Estimates Based on the {{Omori}} and {{Gutenberg}}\textendash{{Richter}} Laws},
  volume = {52},
  issn = {1555-6506},
  language = {en},
  number = {3},
  journal = {Izv., Phys. Solid Earth},
  doi = {10.1134/S1069351316020038},
  author = {Baranov, S. V. and Shebalin, P. N.},
  month = may,
  year = {2016},
  keywords = {Aftershock Activity,Aftershock Sequence,Base Interval,Main Shock,Solid Earth},
  pages = {413-431}
}


@article{shb_Dokl2018,
  title = {The {{Law}} of the {{Repeatability}} of the {{Number}} of {{Aftershocks}}},
  volume = {481},
  issn = {1531-8354},
  abstract = {This paper shows that the number of aftershocks with a relative magnitude does not depend on the magnitude of the main shock, and, in global and regional consideration, it is characterized by an exponential distribution that is similar to the Gutenberg\textendash{}Richter repeatability law. This type of distribution makes it possible to give a simple and adequate interpretation of Bath's law.},
  language = {en},
  number = {1},
  journal = {Dokl. Earth Sc.},
  doi = {10.1134/S1028334X18070280},
  author = {Shebalin, P. N. and Baranov, S. V. and Dzeboev, B. A.},
  month = jul,
  year = {2018},
  pages = {963-966}
}


@article{shb_pageoph2017,
  title = {Long-{{Delayed Aftershocks}} in {{New Zealand}} and the 2016 {{M7}}.8 {{Kaikoura Earthquake}}},
  volume = {174},
  issn = {1420-9136},
  language = {en},
  number = {10},
  journal = {Pure Appl. Geophys.},
  doi = {10.1007/s00024-017-1608-9},
  author = {Shebalin, P. and Baranov, S.},
  month = oct,
  year = {2017},
  pages = {3751-3764},
  file = {/Users/sergey/Zotero/storage/7ZJA4MA4/shebalin2017 (2).pdf;/Users/sergey/Zotero/storage/F9ZV98DF/Shebalin и Baranov - 2017 - Long-Delayed Aftershocks in New Zealand and the 20.pdf}
}

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